Commodity Outlook Report – Q1’2026

Commodity prices, particularly in the ferrous and non-ferrous metals segments, trended upward in Q4 2025, while rare earth and solar metals experienced increased volatility. In contrast, plastics, base chemicals, and related commodities generally softened, supported by adequate supply conditions and lower feedstock costs. 

Looking ahead, price forecasts for Q1 2026 are expected to remain volatile, driven by supply-side constraints, geopolitical uncertainties, and uneven global demand. This volatility is likely to be followed by a gradual price moderation over the course of full-year 2026. Against this backdrop, anticipated price movements in the upcoming quarter will be critical for sourcing and supply chain decision-makers as they seek to manage commodity risks effectively and optimize procurement strategies.

Aranca’s Commodity Outlook Report encompasses price intelligence and forecasts for 300+ indices across chemicals, agro commodities, metals, plastics, oil & gas, aromatics, strenics, solvents and vinyls, among others. The report empowers you to make strategic sourcing and hedging decisions, anticipate market risks, optimize negotiation plans, and proactively manage costs.